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  • When will the oil price peak?

  • For anchor today, we use around 100 million barrels a day, so over the next 15 years, ten years we get 10 percent growth for oil. In our reference case, apparently, that鈥檚 when it peaks. After that we see a decline in overall demand for oil. Simon London: And that peak comes roughly when? Namit Sharma: Around 2033. But I have to be careful.

  • What is happening to the energy industry?

  • On the demand side, the story鈥檚 probably much more positive than for the oil and gas companies. However, it鈥檚 a pretty big shift going from traditional, large, centralized power generation based on coal, gas, hydro, nuclear towards more renewables like wind/solar type of generation.

  • What happens when the peak comes earlier than the reference scenario?

  • The peak comes earlier, next decade, and the decline is steeper, two and a half percent per year. That means that you get a lot closer to the natural depletion rate and probably it will have a much bigger impact on the dynamics on the industry than if you had the reference scenario.

  • What happens after the peak in the sensitivity model?

  • In the accelerated scenario, in the sensitivity, we see a much steeper decline after the peak. The peak comes earlier, next decade, and the decline is steeper, two and a half percent per year.

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